When a La Liga side scores far more goals than its expected goals (xG) in 2023/24, the numbers point toward finishing that is running ahead of underlying chance quality rather than pure attacking dominance. For anyone using data to bet or judge form, those teams raise the opposite question to xG underperformers: is this sustainable sharp finishing, or a run that is likely to regress once the shooting streak fades? Why “Goals Above xG” Suggest Overperformance xG approximates how many goals a team should score based on the quality and volume of its chances, so a big positive gap between…
Author: Onyx Team
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